President Donald Trump announced that the United States is currently engaged in talks with Iran, though he has not yet decided on launching new major military strikes. This statement was made amid heightened tensions between the two nations, following previous military engagements and ongoing geopolitical disputes. Market sentiment appears to be influenced by the prospect of a diplomatic resolution, with an increasing probability that meetings could take place in the UAE. According to current market pricing, this probability is expected to rise gradually by September 30, 2026, although significant uncertainty remains in the absence of concrete details on the talks.
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