Vladimir Putin predicted that Ukraine could lose territories to Hungary, Poland, and Romania over the next 15 years. These remarks come in the context of the Russia-Ukraine war that began in 2022, with analysts interpreting the statements as potentially indicating territorial revisionism. Romania has reinforced border security following multiple drone incidents, with authorities intercepting several drones and issuing alerts to the population in recent days. The implied probability of Ukraine recapturing Crimea by the end of 2026 currently stands at 9.5% on prediction markets, showing a slight decline.
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