Pakistan and Iran are considering new diplomatic talks with the United States, according to sources cited in the article. This initiative comes amid ongoing tensions between Washington and Tehran and is part of a mediation process led by China. Prediction markets reflect limited optimism regarding these talks, with probabilities ranging from 0.1% to 34.1% for a meeting in the United Arab Emirates by September 2026, and a 10% likelihood for a meeting in Pakistan. China’s involvement in facilitating dialogue appears consistent with its recent diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions in the region. Market participants remain cautious given geopolitical complexities, awaiting official announcements from key stakeholders.
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