BIP-110 enters its final 30 hours before reaching block #961632, its activation target. Only 47 out of 2016 blocks have signaled support, representing 2.6%, far below the required 55% threshold (1109 signals).Despite this likely failure, promoters are considering a forced activation by nodes this Saturday: approximately 20% of nodes could implement forced signaling, rejecting incompatible blocks and creating a parallel chain as early as this weekend.This split would introduce a replay risk, allowing a recipient to rebroadcast a transaction on the main blockchain to recover funds. The rules on OP_RETURN, Taproot and other opcodes would only apply at block #965664, around September 1st.
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