Former Mossad Chief Yossi Cohen revealed that Israeli intelligence extensively studied Iran’s underground Fordow nuclear facility and expressed support for U.S. military action targeting the site in June 2025. These strikes represent a significant escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict. Prediction market data shows that the probability of a U.S.-Iran nuclear deal in 2026, including reconstruction funding, has declined from 22% to 18.5%. Additionally, markets estimate only a 7.5% probability that the United States will obtain Iranian enriched uranium by the end of 2026.
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