An Iranian insider has warned Gulf states and Israel that they could become targets if Iran’s civilian infrastructure is attacked. This situation arises amid a conflict involving Iran, the United States, and Israel, with strikes on energy infrastructure in Iran and several Gulf states. Iranian threats suggest a potential escalation beyond military targets to critical economic infrastructure. Prediction markets reflect this rising tension, with the odds of a US-Iran deal including reconstruction funding dropping from 30% to 29%. This escalation could undermine prospects for a diplomatic agreement in 2026.
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