Iran, through its Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, blames the United States for the deadlock in nuclear negotiations. Pakistan is acting as a mediator between the two countries, alongside Qatar, to relay proposals despite the absence of direct negotiations. The 2026 conflict also involves Israel and includes military actions as well as indirect diplomatic efforts. Prediction market odds assign only a 2.3% probability to a final US-Iran nuclear deal by August 13, 2026. Upcoming statements from Donald Trump and Ayatollah Khamenei will be crucial in determining the trajectory of this diplomatic crisis.
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