Darline Graham, recently appointed to the U.S. Senate to succeed her late brother Lindsey Graham, is competing in a South Carolina Republican primary on August 11 to win a full six-year term. Despite endorsements from President Trump and the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC), her odds have dropped from 86% to 59.5% in prediction markets. Her main challenger, Ralph Norman, has seen his probabilities rise from 10% to 32.5%, indicating a significant shift in voter sentiment. A potential runoff is scheduled for August 25 if no candidate achieves an outright majority.
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