Iran announced that three of its pilots were captured by Qatar during an incident at the beginning of the ongoing conflict involving Iran, the United States, Israel, and Qatar. The pilots were aboard Su-24 fighter jets that were shot down during a mission targeting the U.S.-run Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. Iran has requested the intervention of the International Committee of the Red Cross, marking a shift toward diplomatic and humanitarian concerns. Prediction markets reflect a 6.5% probability for a full Iranian airspace closure by August 31, and 32% by December 31.
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