Vera analyzed over 200,000 news-to-market pairings between April and June 2026, sorting them before price moves into stories to watch and stories to set aside. On quiet markets, flagged news moved a price 2 cents or more 23% of the time versus only 8% for set-aside news, roughly 2.7 times as often. Across all markets, the reaction rate reaches 35% for flagged news against 13% for the rest. The rate climbs with the tool’s confidence, reaching 43% for the highest TRADE tier. When holding all factors constant, the gap remains at 9 percentage points, several times the pre-declared threshold.
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