The United States and Israel are preparing potential military strikes against Iran, which could target civilian infrastructure such as energy facilities to increase pressure on the Iranian economy. Washington is awaiting final authorization for these strikes, suggesting high-level coordination between the two countries. This escalation has impacted prediction markets, where the likelihood of a U.S.-Iran deal in 2026 has decreased. Investors now view the risk of new strikes as a significant factor complicating diplomatic efforts and negotiations.
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