Prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi reached a record monthly volume of $44.8 billion in June 2026, driven largely by the FIFA World Cup. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has dropped approximately 50% from its October 2025 peak, falling below $64,000. Analytics firm 21Shares projects that annual traded volume in prediction markets will exceed $100 billion by the end of 2026. The CFTC proposed a new rule in June 2026 concerning prediction markets, signaling a framework-based approach rather than an outright crackdown. Analysts note that prediction markets are finding applications in corporate risk management and hedging strategies.
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